Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity’s Director of Global Macro, envisions Bitcoin carving out a significant niche within the monetary realm of gold. On X, the platform formerly known as Twitter, he shared insights into Bitcoin’s growing influence compared to gold.

Bitcoin’s Golden Ascent

Timmer’s analysis suggests that Bitcoin is on track to claim about 25% of the monetary gold market. Given that 40% of above-ground gold, valued at $6 trillion, serves monetary purposes, Bitcoin’s $1 trillion valuation stands impressive. 

Continuing on my previous thread, the next chart illustrates what I expect to be diminishing returns from future halvings. On the left I show Bitcoin’s outstanding supply (blue) vs incremental supply (orange), and on the right I show the same for gold.🧵 pic.twitter.com/XynyJQWM96

— Jurrien Timmer (@TimmerFidelity) February 22, 2024

This comes as Bitcoin has historically outshone gold, with last year’s 50% surge in Bitcoin’s value outpacing gold and even the broader stock market.

Moreover, Bitcoin’s performance in 2023 dwarfed gold’s by tenfold, setting a bullish precedent for 2024. This optimism among market experts underscores Bitcoin’s potential to disrupt traditional value stores further.

Diminishing Returns in Bitcoin’s Halving Cycle

Timmer also touched upon the diminishing impact of Bitcoin halving events on its price. While past halvings significantly constricted supply and buoyed prices, he predicts the upcoming halving will exert less influence on Bitcoin’s market value. This shift suggests a maturing market where Bitcoin continues to evolve beyond mere supply dynamics.

As Bitcoin continues its march against gold’s monetary dominion, its trajectory seems less swayed by halving events, pointing to a more stable and influential future in the financial landscape.

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